Delusions of success: Costs and demand of high-speed rail in Italy and Spain

Paolo Beria, Raffaele Grimaldi, Daniel Albalate and Germà Bel

Transport Policy, 2018, vol. 68, issue C, 63-79

Abstract: Mismatches between forecasted and actual costs and traffic figures are common in transport investments, especially in large scale ones, and so are delusions of the future demand. High-speed rail projects are often among the worst practices for cost overruns and demand overestimation, even where traffic figures may tell a history of apparent success.

Keywords: High-speed rail; Megaprojects; Italy; Spain; Cost overrun; Demand estimation; Optimism bias (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (20)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.03.011

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