Has Chinese aid benefited recipient countries? Evidence from a meta-regression analysis

Pierre Mandon and Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael

World Development, 2023, vol. 166, issue C

Abstract: This paper employs a meta-regression analysis of 1,149 estimates from 29 studies to take stock of the empirical literature on Chinese aid effectiveness. After accommodating publication selection bias, we find that, on average, Beijing’s foreign assistance is positively associated with economic outcomes in recipient countries, but correlates with deforestation and negative perceptions of China among citizens, albeit negligible in size. We also show that studies that fail to uncover empirical effects that conform to researchers’ expectations are less likely to be submitted or accepted for publication. Differences in the choice of data, estimation method, and authors’ institutional affiliation explain the heterogeneity among Chinese aid effectiveness estimates reported in the literature.

Keywords: China; Foreign aid; Meta-regression analysis; Publication selection bias; Bayesian model averaging (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:166:y:2023:i:c:s0305750x23000293

DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106211

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