Estimating the Scale and Geography of Global Poverty Now and in the Future: How Much Difference Do Method and Assumptions Make?

Peter Edward and Andy Sumner

World Development, 2014, vol. 58, issue C, 67-82

Abstract: Estimates of the historic and future scale and location or “geography” of global poverty by income/expenditure have a long and contentious history. In recent projections made on global poverty, methods and assumptions vary so widely it is impossible to compare studies in a systematic way even on their estimates of current poverty. In light of this, we discuss the methodological issues arising and use a custom-built model to provide a new, consistent set of long-run estimates of global poverty to show the impact of different methods and assumptions on the scale and location of global poverty.

Keywords: global poverty; poverty geography; poverty measurement; inequality; methodology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:58:y:2014:i:c:p:67-82

DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.12.009

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