Flood-Induced Displacement and Civil Conflict

Ramesh Ghimire (), Susana Ferreira and Jeffrey Dorfman ()

World Development, 2015, vol. 66, issue C, 614-628

Abstract: Large, catastrophic floods intensify environmental scarcity and can lead to mass displacement from affected areas. The sudden and mass influx of migrants could increase the risk of social tensions in receiving areas. In this paper, we analyze the impact of the displacement induced by large floods on civil conflict using historical data for 126 countries during 1985–2009. Our results suggest that while the displacement caused by large floods did not ignite new conflicts, it fueled existing conflicts. This effect was larger in developing countries and it receded with time, vanishing five years following the flood.

Keywords: climate change; climate/environmentally induced displacements; migration; civil conflict; floods; natural disasters (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:66:y:2015:i:c:p:614-628

DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.09.021

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