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Persistence Effects in Labor Force Participation

Robert Gay and William Wascher
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Robert Gay: Morgan Stanley

Eastern Economic Journal, 1989, vol. 15, issue 3, 177-187

Abstract: This paper examines empirically two facets of labor force participation dynamics that imply quite different interpretations of labor market fluctuations. The first, which underlies equilibrium business cycle models, is that workers time their participation to coincide with periods of high real wages. The second, which implies the existence of involuntary unemployment during cyclical downturns, is that workers' current labor force status is heavily influenced by their work experience in the recent past. The authors' results suggest that these persistence effects are a key feature of labor force behavior, particularly for teenagers, adult women, and older men. In contrast, very little evidence could be found to support the intertemporal substitution hypothesis.

Date: 1989
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http://web.holycross.edu/RePEc/eej/Archive/Volume15/V15N3P177_187.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Persistence effects in labor force participation (1985)
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Eastern Economic Journal is currently edited by Cynthia A. Bansak, St. Lawrence University and Allan A. Zebedee, Clarkson University

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