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The Role of Empirical Analysis in the Investigation of Situations Involving Ignorance and Historical Time

Donald Katzner
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Donald Katzner: University of Massachusetts

Eastern Economic Journal, 1991, vol. 17, issue 3, 297-303

Abstract: When empirically investigating situations in which human ignorance and historical time are significant features, use of the notion of probability, in any of its forms, is not legitimate. Thus, familiar distributional techniques such as hypothesis testing and estimation, and standard methods of probabilistic prediction, have to be discarded. Nondistributional "estimation" and nonprobabilistic "prediction" are still possible, and the potential for empirical falsification and "corroboration" of theoretical propositions and models remains intact.

JEL-codes: B41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1991
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Eastern Economic Journal is currently edited by Cynthia A. Bansak, St. Lawrence University and Allan A. Zebedee, Clarkson University

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