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Explaining the EURO's Initial Decline

Philip Arestis, Iris Biefang-Frisancho, Andrew Brown and Malcolm Sawyer ()
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Andrew Brown: Leeds Univesrity

Eastern Economic Journal, 2002, vol. 28, issue 1, 71-88

Abstract: This paper argues that the inception of the euro itself, with its restrictive monetarist institutional structures, to an area which is in a divergent state, which has recently been widened by a process of divergence, is ample reason for long term investors, and, indeed, post-"euphoric", short term speculators, to regard the euro area as structurally weaker since January 1999. It is difficult to predict the fixture course of the euro; once portfolio investors have shifted fully back to their pre-"euphoria" level of holdings of euros, then any number of contingencies may come into play.

JEL-codes: E42 E52 F33 F36 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Eastern Economic Journal is currently edited by Cynthia A. Bansak, St. Lawrence University and Allan A. Zebedee, Clarkson University

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