 Transition to a crisis free development: myth or reality?Economy and Forecasting, 2012, issue 3, 7-22 Abstract: The aim of the research, the results of which are excerpted in the article, is to identify the causes that triggered the global systemic crisis and the efficient mechanisms to overcome the latter. The author reveals that it is possible to understand the objective reasons of the repeated crises in development of the world and every single country, as well as to solve the problems of the present and to see the outlines of the future by applying the new methodology, designed by the author for cognition of regularities in the development of human society. The basis of this toolkit is comprised of the revealed purpose-oriented pre-determination in the human community development, as well as systemic, integral and cross-disciplinary approach to be applied in analysis of all facets of life, plus the single measure for all processes – i.e., time, and the single criteria of efficiency - i.e., the time between emergence and satisfaction of a human individual's need. If the time between the emergence and satisfaction of an individual's need is evolutional and makes no reverse, then the development path has been chosen correctly. The given methodology has made it possible to find out that on the whole multi-century path of the human community development, there have existed only two paradigms of the human system development. The cycles, crises, chaos and all negative phenomena are natural products of the second, the indirect paradigm of development. The author substantiates the necessity to move to the previous, first paradigm of development based on direct interconnection between production and consumption by a concrete individual, but this, she argues, should be done on a new and highly technological level. Practical implementation of such life-organization model at each local level is the only possible condition for transition to sustainable crisis-free development. The main task in this context is not to miss the time. Date: 2012 Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eip:journl:y:2012:i:3:p:7-22 Access Statistics for this article Economy and Forecasting is currently edited by Iryna Bazhal More articles in Economy and Forecasting from Valeriy Heyets |
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