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Unemployment and common smooth transition trends in Central and Eastern European Countries

Juan Cuestas and Javier Ordonez

Economic Issues Journal Articles, 2011, vol. 16, issue 2, 39-52

Abstract: In this paper we analyse whether the apparent comovement of unemployment rates for some of the Central and Eastern EU new members can be explained by a common force, possibly linked to the process of economic integration. For this purpose we test for nonlinear unit roots as a first step to testing for common nonlinearities. Our results show that for five countries, out of eight, unemployment dynamics appear to be well described as a stationary process around highly persistent structural changes. Furthermore, we find evidence of a common nonlinear component driving the unemployment rates.

Date: 2011
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Working Paper: Unemployment and common smooth transition trends in Central and Eastern European Countries (2009) Downloads
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