The wrong track also leads someplace: Milton Friedman's presidential address at 50
Servaas Storm
Additional contact information
Servaas Storm: Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands
Review of Keynesian Economics, 2018, vol. 6, issue 4, 517-532
Abstract:
Milton Friedman's presidential address to the American Economic Association holds a mythical status as the harbinger of the supply-side counter-revolution in macroeconomics – centred on the rejection of the long-run Phillips-curve inflation–unemployment trade-off. Friedman (seconded by Edmund Phelps) argued that the long run is determined by 'structural' forces, not demand, and his view swept the profession and dominated academic economics and macro policymaking for four decades. Friedman, tragically, put macroeconomics on the wrong track which led to disaster: secular stagnation, rising inequality, mounting indebtedness, financial fragility, a banking catastrophe and recession – and no free lunches. This is Friedman's legacy. We have to unlearn the wrong lessons and return macroeconomics to the right track. To do so, this paper shows that Friedman's (and Phelps's) conclusions break down in a general model of the long run in which productivity growth is endogenous – aggregate demand is driving everything again, short and long.
Keywords: natural rate of unemployment; endogenous technological progress; monetary policy; generalized NAIRU model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E02 E12 E31 F02 F15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:
Downloads: (external link)
https://www.elgaronline.com/view/journals/roke/6-4/roke.2018.04.09.xml (application/pdf)
Restricted access
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:elg:rokejn:v:6:y:2018:i:4:p517-532
Access Statistics for this article
Review of Keynesian Economics is currently edited by Thomas Palley, MatÃas Vernengo and Esteban Pérez Caldentey
More articles in Review of Keynesian Economics from Edward Elgar Publishing
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Phillip Thompson ().