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The private saving glut and the developed countries' government financial balance

Leon Podkaminer

Review of Keynesian Economics, 2019, vol. 7, issue 1, 94-107

Abstract: The 'global saving glut' Ã la Bernanke is not a serious problem for a large group of high-income countries considered collectively. More importantly, taken together these countries exhibit a tendency for a growing GDP share of private-sector saving and a falling GDP share of private investment. Given prevailing tendencies regarding income distribution and gross capital formation, the private sector of developed countries considered collectively is prone to accumulating 'saving gluts' which is reflected in persistent public-sector financial deficits. Fiscal policy may need to support growth with the debt-financed income injections more or less permanently, and not just in response to 'cyclical' growth slow-downs or occasional recessions.

Keywords: aggregate financial balances; excess private saving; secular stagnation; fiscal policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E10 E21 E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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