The underlying coherent behavior in intraday dynamic market equilibrium

Leilei Shi, Xinshuai Guo, Andrea Fenu and Bing-Hong Wang

China Finance Review International, 2023, vol. 13, issue 4, 568-598

Abstract: Purpose - This paper applies a volume-price probability wave differential equation to propose a conceptual theory and has innovative behavioral interpretations of intraday dynamic market equilibrium price, in which traders' momentum, reversal and interactive behaviors play roles. Design/methodology/approach - The authors select intraday cumulative trading volume distribution over price as revealed preferences. An equilibrium price is a price at which the corresponding cumulative trading volume achieves the maximum value. Based on the existence of the equilibrium in social finance, the authors propose a testable interacting traders' preference hypothesis without imposing the invariance criterion of rational choices. Interactively coherent preferences signify the choices subject to interactive invariance over price. Findings - The authors find that interactive trading choices generate a constant frequency over price and intraday dynamic market equilibrium in a tug-of-war between momentum and reversal traders. The authors explain the market equilibrium through interactive, momentum and reversal traders. The intelligent interactive trading preferences are coherent and account for local dynamic market equilibrium, holistic dynamic market disequilibrium and the nonlinear and non-monotone V-shaped probability of selling over profit (BH curves). Research limitations/implications - The authors will understand investors' behaviors and dynamic markets through more empirical execution in the future, suggesting a unified theory available in social finance. Practical implications - The authors can apply the subjects' intelligent behaviors to artificial intelligence (AI), deep learning and financial technology. Social implications - Understanding the behavior of interacting individuals or units will help social risk management beyond the frontiers of the financial market, such as governance in an organization, social violence in a country and COVID-19 pandemics worldwide. Originality/value - It uncovers subjects' intelligent interactively trading behaviors.

Keywords: Complexity economics; Interactively coherent preference; Interactive trader; Momentum and reversal trader; Local equilibrium; BH curve; C60; D01; D90; G10; G40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:cfripp:cfri-08-2022-0149

DOI: 10.1108/CFRI-08-2022-0149

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