Forecasting housing distribution based on housing market dynamics in rapidly developing cities: the case of Doha metropolitan

Alaa Alrababaa, Hatem Ibrahim, Eslam Shaheen and Hossam Samir Ibrahim

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, 2025, vol. 19, issue 3, 796-819

Abstract: PurposeThis paper aims to examine the housing market dynamics in Doha Metropolitan in the context of projected demographic changes by 2035, which are expected to significantly influence the housing sector.Design/methodology/approachFocusing on downtown, waterfront and suburban areas within a rapidly developing urban environment, the study analyzes four major factors: (i) residential land use policy and capacity, (ii) government housing policies, (iii) housing supply and demand and (iv) housing preferences. A multimethodological approach is employed, including an assessment of housing policies, content analysis of supply-demand dynamics and a survey capturing population housing preferences.FindingsThe findings provide key insights for policymakers, urban planners and developers, highlighting an oversupply of residential land and housing stock and emphasizing the need for strategic housing distribution to address misalignments between supply and demand. The strategy prioritizes utilizing existing housing stock, with strategic development of vacant lands and increasing affordable housing in suburban and waterfront area.Originality/valueThis research presents a data-driven framework as a valuable contribution to the science of housing supply and demand, offering a predictive model to guide housing distribution in rapidly urbanizing cities worldwide.

Keywords: Housing market; Urban growth; Housing policy; Land use; Government policies; Housing preferences (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:ijhmap:ijhma-01-2025-0008

DOI: 10.1108/IJHMA-01-2025-0008

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