Impacts of monetary policy on housing prices in five emerging economies during the Covid-19 pandemic

Trung Ba Nguyen and Chon Van Le

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, 2023, vol. 18, issue 1, 48-69

Abstract: Purpose - This paper aims to examine the dynamic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and government policy on real house price indices in five emerging economies, namely, Brazil, China, Thailand, Turkey and South Africa. Design/methodology/approach - The authors use the local projection method with a panel data set of these countries spanning from January 2020 to July 2021. Findings - The number of COVID-19 confirmed positive cases raised housing prices, whereas government containment measures reduced them. Both conventional and unconventional monetary policy implemented by central banks to cope with the COVID-19 helped increase housing prices. These effects were strengthened by the US monetary policy via globalized financial markets. Originality/value - First, while previous researches typically concentrated on developed countries, the authors investigate emerging economies where proportionally more people were badly affected by the pandemic. Second, a panel data set of five emerging economies enabled the authors to examine the dynamic effects of the COVID-19 crisis on housing prices. Third, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study evaluating the influences of easing monetary policy on housing prices in emerging economies during the pandemic.

Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic; Monetary policy; Housing prices; Emerging economies; E52; R30; R38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:ijhmap:ijhma-04-2023-0057

DOI: 10.1108/IJHMA-04-2023-0057

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