Too far east is west: tax risk, tax reform and investment timing
Wanyi Chen
International Journal of Managerial Finance, 2020, vol. 17, issue 2, 303-326
Abstract:
Purpose - Tax risk refers to the uncertainty of future corporate taxation. Tax reform is a key issue in major current tax system adjustments that seriously affect a firm's tax risk. In response to changes in the economic environment, many countries are actively executing tax reform. Long-term reforms implemented for a smooth transition may instead increase corporate risk. This study examines the relationship among tax risk, tax reform and investment timing. Design/methodology/approach - Selecting the Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange A-share listed companies' panel data from 2008 to 2017, the paper used survival analysis and the propensity score matching-difference in difference models. Findings - The results show that a higher corporate tax risk results in more deferred investments, which are further examined using the latest Chinese value-added tax reform as a natural experiment. Originality/value - The conclusion serves as an important reference for governments to balance reform time and to support enterprises in effectively identifying and managing tax risk under tax reform.
Keywords: Tax risk; Tax reform; Uncertainty; Investment timing; Reform duration; G31; E62; D81 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:ijmfpp:ijmf-03-2020-0132
DOI: 10.1108/IJMF-03-2020-0132
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