Income inequality, unemployment, and government transfer: what do their dynamics tell us

Haydory Akbar Ahmed and Hedieh Shadmani

Journal of Economics and Development, 2024, vol. 26, issue 4, 274-289

Abstract: Purpose - In this research, we explore the dynamics among measures of income inequality in the USA, male and female unemployment rates and growth in government transfer using time series data. Design/methodology/approach - This research adopts a macro-econometric approach to estimate a structural VAR model using time series data. Findings - Our structural impulse responses found that growth in government transfer increases unemployment rates for both males and females. Female income inequality declines with increased government transfer. When the female income ratio rises, we observe that government transfer outlays fall over the forecast horizon. Variance decomposition finds that growth in government transfers is impacted by the male unemployment rate relatively more than the female unemployment rate. This research, therefore, suggests gender-specific government transfers to reduce income inequality. This, in effect, may reduce government transfer outlays over time. Practical implications - This research, therefore, suggests gender-specific government transfers to reduce income inequality. This, in effect, may reduce government transfer outlays over time. Originality/value - This research investigates the dynamics among income inequality, government transfer and unemployment rates. There is a dearth of research articles that adopt a macro-econometric in this area.

Keywords: Income inequality; Male and female unemployment rates; Government transfer; Structural VAR model; Impulse response; Variance decomposition; C32; D63; E24; I38; J16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:jedpps:jed-10-2023-0195

DOI: 10.1108/JED-10-2023-0195

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