The short-term response of the Hispanic noncitizen population to anti-illegal immigration legislation

Gonzalo E. Sánchez

Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 2017, vol. 22, issue 42, 25-36

Abstract: Purpose - This paper aims to examine the short-term effect of the Arizona Immigration Law of 2010 (SB 1070) on the noncitizen Hispanic state population. Design/methodology/approach - To get a consistent estimate of this effect, a synthetic control method has been used to calculate a suitable counterfactual. Findings - Results indicate that this bill produced a statistically significant short-term reduction in the proportion of noncitizen Hispanics in Arizona between 10 and 15 per cent. However, the evidence suggests that this effect vanishes after a few months. Originality/value - These findings are consistent with previous evidence of the high mobility of the undocumented population in the US, and contribute to the understanding of the effects of federal and state-level immigration legislation. Propósito - Este artículo examina el efecto a corto plazo de la Ley de Inmigración de Arizona de 2010 (SB 1070) sobre la población hispana no ciudadana. Diseño/metodología/enfoque - Para obtener una estimación consistente sobre este efecto, he utilizado un método de control sintético para calcular una hipótesis de contraste adecuada. Hallazgos - Los resultados indican que este proyecto produjo una reducción a corto plazo estadísticamente significativa en la proporción de hispanos no ciudadanos en Arizona —entre el 10% y el 15%—. Sin embargo, la evidencia sugiere que este efecto desaparece después de unos meses. Originalidad/valor - Estos hallazgos son consistentes con la evidencia previa de la alta movilidad de la población indocumentada en los Estados Unidos, y contribuyen a la comprensión de los efectos de la legislación de inmigración federal y estatal. Palabras clave - Población hispana, Inmigración ilegal, Control sintético Tipo de artículo - Artículo de investigación

Keywords: Hispanic population; Illegal immigration; Synthetic control; J61; J68 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:jefasp:jefas-02-2017-0034

DOI: 10.1108/JEFAS-02-2017-0034

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