Was trade openness with China an initial driver of cross-country human coronavirus infections?

Gregory Price and Doreen P. Adu

Journal of Economic Studies, 2021, vol. 49, issue 1, 112-125

Abstract: Purpose - This paper aims to consider if an initial driver of the cross-country global coronavirus pandemic was trade openness with China. Design/methodology/approach - The authors estimate simple, seemingly unrelated and zero-inflated count data specifications of a gravity model of trade between China and its trading partners, where the number of human coronavirus infections in a country is a function of the number of distinct good/services exported and imported from China. Findings - Parameter estimates reveal that the number of early cross-country human coronavirus infections increased with respect to trade openness with China, as measured by the number of distinct Chinese exported and imported goods/services, and can account for approximately 24% of early infections among China's trading partners. The findings suggest that one of the costs of trade openness and globalization is that they can be a driver of cross-country human disease pandemics. Originality/value - This inquiry constitutes a first approach at embedding the possible disease pandemic costs of free trade, trade openness and globalization within a trade gravity model.

Keywords: China; Trade openness; Human coronavirus infections (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:jespps:jes-10-2020-0497

DOI: 10.1108/JES-10-2020-0497

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