Daily abnormal price changes and trading strategies in the FOREX
Guglielmo Maria Caporale and
Alex Plastun ()
Journal of Economic Studies, 2020, vol. 48, issue 1, 211-222
Purpose - This paper explores abnormal price changes in the FOREX by using both daily and intraday data on the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD and EURJPY exchange rates over the period 01.01.2008–31.12.2018. Design/methodology/approach - It applies a dynamic trigger approach to detect abnormal price changes and then various statistical methods, including cumulative abnormal returns analysis, to test the following hypotheses: the intraday behaviour of hourly returns on overreaction days is different from that on normal days (H1), there are detectable patterns in intraday price dynamics on days with abnormal price changes (H2) and on the following days (H3). Findings - The results suggest that there are statistically significant differences between intraday dynamics on days with abnormal price changes and normal days respectively; also, prices tend to change in the direction of the abnormal change during that day, but move in the opposite direction on the following day. Finally, there exist trading strategies that generate abnormal profits by exploiting the detected anomalies, which can be seen as evidence of market inefficiency. Originality/value - New evidence on abnormal price changes and related trading strategies in the FOREX.
Keywords: FOREX; Anomalies; Overreactions; Abnormal returns; Patterns; Abnormal price changes; C63; G12; G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.emeraldinsight.com/10.1108/JES-11-2019- ... RePEc&WT.mc_id=RePEc (text/html)
Articles are not free to download
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:jespps:jes-11-2019-0503
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
Emerald Group Publishing, Howard House, Wagon Lane, Bingley, BD16 1WA, UK
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of Economic Studies is currently edited by Professor Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
More articles in Journal of Economic Studies from Emerald Group Publishing
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Virginia Chapman ().