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Interest rate convergence, sovereign credit risk and the European debt crisis: a survey

Mario Gruppe, Tobias Basse, Meik Friedrich and Carsten Lange

Journal of Risk Finance, 2017, vol. 18, issue 4, 432-442

Abstract: Purpose - This paper aims to briefly review the literature on interest rate convergence and the European debt crisis with a special focus on the current fiscal problems of some governments in Europe. Design/methodology/approach - Relevant empirical papers are identified and reviewed focusing on time series analysis techniques. Findings - The introduction of the euro has caused interest rate convergence among European Monetary Union (EMU) government bond yields. However, now sovereign credit risk and possibly even redenomination risk have caused divergences in European bond markets. Research limitations/implications - A major limitation is that a relatively new field of the literature is surveyed. However, there are enough papers of relevance. This review paper could therefore be helpful in finding new approaches for additional empirical research examining the EMU bond market. Originality/value - The results of empirical studies in a relatively new field of the literature are summarized. There meanwhile are some relevant papers. A brief survey of the results of these papers is provided. Important empirical findings with regard to interest rate convergence, sovereign credit risk and redenomination risk in the EMU are discussed and evaluated. The review is especially helpful for researchers and practitioners in the field of managerial finance and risk managers in the financial services industry.

Keywords: European debt crisis; Interest rate convergence; Sovereign credit risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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