Unveiling the dynamic linkages between energy, forex and financial markets amidst natural and man-made outbreaks

Miklesh Prasad Yadav, Silky Vigg Kushwah, Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary and Nandita Mishra

Review of Accounting and Finance, 2024, vol. 24, issue 1, 129-151

Abstract: Purpose - This paper aims to analyze the dynamic linkages of the energy market with the forex market. The energy market is measured by crude oil WTI, while the forex market is proxied by Brazilian real (RBRL), Mexican peso (RMXN), South African rand (RZAR), Turkish lira (RTRY) and British pound sterling (RGBP) exchange rate. Design/methodology/approach - For the study, daily observations of these constituent asset classes extending from December 31, 2019, to August 16, 2022, are taken as the data. Furthermore, it is categorized into two different sub-samples in the form of the COVID-19 outbreak (December 31, 2019 to February 23, 2022) and the Russo−Ukraine invasion (February 24, 2022 to August 16, 2022). For empirical estimation, Diebold and Yilmaz model (2014) and Barunik and Krehlik test (2018) are used to examine the dynamic linkages. Findings - The study concludes that the Mexican peso (RMXN) receives and transmits the highest spillover, while crude oil (RCOWTI) receives and transmits the least volatility to the network connection in full sample. In addition, the authors report that the dynamic linkage is not constant in the short, medium and long run. Furthermore, the spillover index in the Russo−Ukraine invasion is higher (29.92%) than full observation (22.03%) and COVID-19 outbreak (21.10%) in the short run. Originality/value - This paper ventures to offer insight to investors, traders and policymakers based on normal trading days and crisis periods.

Keywords: Dynamic linkages; Energy market; Forex market; COVID-19; RUSSO−Ukraine invasion (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:rafpps:raf-03-2024-0086

DOI: 10.1108/RAF-03-2024-0086

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