Macroeconomic benefits of farmer-pastoralist peace in Nigeria’s Middle Belt: An input-output analysis approach

Topher McDougal (), Talia Hagerty (), Lisa Inks (), Caitriona Dowd () and Stone Conroy ()
Additional contact information
Talia Hagerty: Research Fellow, Institute for Economics and Peace, Sydney, Australia
Lisa Inks: Director, Conflict Management Programs, Mercy Corps, Nigeria
Caitriona Dowd: Research Fellow, Mercy Corps, Nigeria
Stone Conroy: Conflict Management and Economic Development Fellow, Mercy Corps, Nigeria

Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2015, vol. 10, issue 1, 66-77

Abstract: This article reports on the potential macroeconomic benefits of peace stemming from a reduction in farmer-pastoralist violence in four Middle Belt states of Nigeria (Benue, Kaduna, Nasarawa, and Plateau). Farmers and pastoralists routinely clash over access to farmland, grazing areas, stock routes, and water points for both animals and households. Farmer-pastoralist violence in these states is a relatively low-intensity form of conflict, but it is regionally widespread and chronic, and its incidence is arguably increasing. Using estimates of potential income benefits of peace at the household-level derived from a related study, we herein derive macroeconomic benefits via an input-output model of the Nigerian economy. We estimate these benefits to amount to around 2.8 percent of the nominal Nigerian GDP (or around 0.8 percent of the total Nigerian GDP, inclusive of the informal sector), representing a major macroeconomic opportunity. We break out these benefits by sector, showing that the sectors that stand to gain most from peace are the crop production, food and beverage, livestock, and chemical and petroleum industries.

Keywords: Peace dividend; benefits of peace; input-output analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C65 D74 E01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.epsjournal.org.uk/index.php/EPSJ/article/view/214 (application/pdf)
Open access 24 months after original publication.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:epc:journl:v:10:y:2015:i:1:p:66-77

Access Statistics for this article

Economics of Peace and Security Journal is currently edited by Michael Brown and J Paul Dunne

More articles in Economics of Peace and Security Journal from EPS Publishing Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Michael Brown, Managing Editor, EPSJ ().