Conflict determinants in Africa

John Dunne and Nan Tian ()
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Nan Tian: Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Stockholm, Sweden

Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2019, vol. 14, issue 2, 21-31

Abstract: This article considers the determinants of conflict in Africa. It revisits the greed versus grievance debate to consider the specific regional context and changing nature of conflict in Africa. This is a literature that has grown rapidly in economics and political science, but some recent developments in modeling and conceptualization are providing important new contributions. The article uses the zero-inflated ordered probit technique that deals with the problem of excess zeros in datasets, revisits the definition of conflict, and improves upon some proxy measures. It also considers the substantive as well as statistical significance of the variables. Changes in the technique used provide more support for the influence of grievance terms than given credit for with the usual probit model approach. Both greed and grievance determine conflict in Africa.

Keywords: Civil war; zero-inflation model; greed; grievance; Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C30 D74 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:epc:journl:v:14:y:2019:i:2:p:21-31

DOI: 10.15355/epsj.14.2.21

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