Conflict escalation during neutral and biased humanitarian military interventions

Luqman Saeed ()
Additional contact information
Luqman Saeed: University of Ulster, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK

Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2022, vol. 17, issue 2, 19-31

Abstract: This article considers the effects of humanitarian military interventions (HMIs) on conflict in the countries in which they have been used. Theoretically, neutral HMIs, in which interveners target all violent actors, are expected to have a pacifying effect on conflict intensity by increasing the cost of violence for all parties—while biased HMIs can escalate conflict intensity, by reducing the cost of violence and so encouraging the supported parties to become more violent. The empirical results show that neutral HMIs do seem to lead to lower conflict intensity in the targeted countries, relative to other conflict-affected countries. Anti-rebels HMIs are observed to escalate conflict both in the short and the long run, while the evidence for anti-government HMIs is mixed.

Keywords: Humanitarian Military Interventions; Conflict Escalation; Battle-related Deaths; Ordered Probit Regression; peace process; peacekeeping, rebellion; Ordered Probit Regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F50 F51 F53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.epsjournal.org.uk/index.php/EPSJ/article/view/365 (application/pdf)
Open access 24 months after original publication.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:epc:journl:v:17:y:2022:i:2:p:19-31

DOI: 10.15355/epsj.17.2.19

Access Statistics for this article

Economics of Peace and Security Journal is currently edited by Michael Brown and J Paul Dunne

More articles in Economics of Peace and Security Journal from EPS Publishing Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Michael Brown, Managing Editor, EPSJ ().