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Sanctions, sanctions-busting, and secondary sanctions: A game-theoretic analysis

Oana Secrier () and Ugurhan Berkok ()
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Oana Secrier: Royal Military College of Canada,Kingston,Ontario,Canada
Ugurhan Berkok: Royal Military College of Canada,Kingston,Ontario,Canada

Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2025, vol. 20, issue 1, 42-54

Abstract: One of the reasons why economic sanctions fail to achieve their objective is sanctions-busting—where the target country engages in transactions with third parties to counter the effect of sanctions. Sanctions-busting has not been captured by existing theoretical models of sanctions. Developed here is a game-theoretic model of the sanctions-busting game between the third party and the target by accounting for the costs and benefits for all three players in the triad. A full range of equilibria consistent with actual sanctions episodes are obtained.

Keywords: Economic sanctions; sanctions-busting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:epc:journl:v:20:y:2025:i:1:p:42-54

DOI: 10.15355/epsj.20.1.42

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