Aplicación de un modelo de multiplicadores contables y de análisis estructural a políticas sociales seleccionadas en el estado de Nuevo León

Marcos Esaú Domínguez Viera ()
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Marcos Esaú Domínguez Viera: Estudiante de Maestría en Economía en la Universidad de Essex.

Ensayos Revista de Economia, 2009, vol. XXVIII, issue 2, 95-137

Abstract: This paper analyzes the economic effects of “Oportunidades” Program, “Programa de Atención al Adulto Mayor” (PAAM) and “Programa de Apoyo para las Personas con Discapacidad” (PAPD) on the State of Nuevo Leon, by a linear model applied to a 2004 Social Accounting Matrix. The mainly results show that for each peso that brings, Oportunidades increase Nuevo Leon economy and household’s incomes the most. PAAM´s total transfers generate bigger economic effects over all households and the State than the others programs; and PAPD is the most focused in poor households. The analysis suggests that income transfers is expended principally in Food, beverages and tobacco, which require goods from Agriculture, livestock, forestry and fishing to produce, whose then demands the main poor household job: Agriculture workers.

Keywords: social policies; social accounting matrix; linear models of circular cash flow; accounting multipliers; path analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D57 H59 R15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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