Combined Modeling of Projected Evaluation of the Regional Socio-economic Development
A.O. Blinov and
International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), 2019, vol. VII, issue Special 1, 348-354
Purpose: The article reveals the authors’ approach to forecast the socio-economic development of a region. Design/Methodology/Approach: The framework of this approach envisages the construction of three interrelated models: a matrix predictor, an autoregressive model, and a binary choice logit model. This approach ensures an adequate reproduction of the systemic dynamics of indicators of regional socio-economic development. Findings: Authors’ models require their implementation in the state management function of the regional economy and testing with specific examples illustrating opportunities of multidimensional economic and mathematical modeling of difficult socio-economic phenomena and processes. Practical implications: Authors’ development represents a conceptual foundation for the development of digital regional socio-economic monitoring systems providing an opportunity for a qualitative increase in the reliability and relevance of prognostic parameters. Originality/Value: The contribution of the article is assessment of an opportunity to model the dynamics of multidimensional processes with the perspective to build a combined forecast model of the socio-economic development of the region, providing for the implementation of multivariate forecast calculations.
Keywords: Forecast; region; socio-economic development; combined modeling; discrete-continuous regression matrix model. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ers:ijebaa:v:vii:y:2019:i:special1:p:348-354
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