Analysis Models for Territorial Variation of Demographic Phenomena. The Case of Romania

Mariana Nicolae-Balan () and Raluca Iorgulescu

Eco-Economics Review, 2015, vol. 1, issue 1, 25-32

Abstract: Demographic phenomena that characterized the last decades have influenced its spatial distribution. Demographic aging of population has become lately an extremely sensitive and sometimes thorny issue, whose resolution requires a joint and coordinated effort of all decision makers in each country. Demographic aging has a profound impact on all generations and for most areas of economic activity and for the poverty level. As a member state of the European Union, Romania, "enrols", from the point of view of an aging population, in the European trend, sometimes was exceeding, in the negative, the levels of other Member States. Regional disparities, highlighted through different methods, recommend using multi-criteria analysis to determine the influence of various socio-economic factors on demographic factors. In the first part, the paper presents a brief analysis of the evolution of demographic phenomena in Romanian development regions. Econometric and stochastic methods for territorial forecasting of demographic phenomena are presented, which will be the basis for future research.

Keywords: demographic phenomena; regional distribution; stochastic models; econometric estimates; forecast (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C52 C87 J10 J11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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