Diagnostics of Cyclical Dynamics of Innovative Development in Peripheral Regions

Vasilisa V. Gorochnaya
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Vasilisa V. Gorochnaya: South Federal University

Economics. Information Technologies, 2026, vol. 53, issue 2, 301-319

Abstract: The article is devoted to the problem of innovation development of periphery using the example of Russia's Western border regions as a special problem area which is susceptible to additional risks in the current geo-economic conditions. The author considers peripheral position to be a systemic characteristic of a territory, and views it in the conditions of relativity of multilevel central-peripheral systems. Accordingly, the regions of the Western Borderlands, while being a periphery in relation to the federal center, have their own centers that act as conductors and generators of innovative development waves spreading to the periphery. The research considers Saint Petersburg, Rostov and Belgorod regions to be such centers. The study identifies the zones of their local attraction, lag inertia and periphery’s dependence on the centers. The methodology is based on nonparametric and statistical analysis of dynamic series. It traces the main indicators of innovative development, grouped according to the principle of stages of the innovation reproduction cycle. The research reveals that the dynamics of Kitchin cycles is reproduced, but fades away both from the center to periphery, and from one stage of innovative reproduction to another. Similarly, the dynamics of negative impulses caused by the geo-economic events of 2014, 2020 and 2022 is reproduced. The study has revealed that the lag period of transmission of innovative dynamics impulses between the federal center and local ones is from twelve to eighteen months. However, individual regions (primarily focused on tourist demand) are in closer cooperation with the capital, therefore they practically do not have lag inertia, while the northern regions do not have their own cycle due to the dependence on government orders.

Keywords: innovation development; economic reproduction; innovation reproduction; center and periphery; Kitchin cycles; economic cycle; western borderlands of Russia; border regions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eul:ecoinf:v:53:y:2026:i:2:p:301-319

DOI: 10.52575/2687-0932-2026-53-2-301-319

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