Economic Factors in Determining the Penetration Coefficient of Mobile Phone in Iran

Mansour Khalili Araghi and Ghahreman Abdoli
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Mansour Khalili Araghi: Professor; Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran
Ghahreman Abdoli: Assistant Professor; Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran

Iranian Economic Review (IER), 2010, vol. 15, issue 2, 41-49

Abstract: In this paper we have studied the adoption rate of mobile phone in Iran via the new technology diffusion models approach. The result show that its diffusion pattern has a S shaped curve which is consistent with logistic model. Effective factors in diffusion pattern are: population, GDP, digitalization of the telecommunication system, government expenditures on the telecommunication sector, price of mobile phone and the inflation rate. We have also found that the logistic model has a batter explanatory power than the time series models.

Keywords: Mobile Phone; Diffusion; ARMA model; Logistic model. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eut:journl:v:15:y:2010:i:2:p:41

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