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Early Warning Indicators of Banking Crisis in Asian Countries

Raja Hmili and Taoufik Bouraoui
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Raja Hmili: ESC Rennes School of Business, France
Taoufik Bouraoui: ESC Rennes School of Business, France

Expert Journal of Finance, 2015, vol. 3, issue 1, 1-8

Abstract: >This paper aims to test the relevance of the advanced warning indicators in the prediction of systemic banking crises in 6 Asian emerging countries over the period 1973-2012. Based on multivariate panel logit model, our empirical results suggest that among 6 determinants of banking crises ranged into macroeconomic, financial and external variables, inflation demonstrates the most significant predictive power on systemic banking crises.

Keywords: banking crises; early warning system; panel logit regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 C52 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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