Validando um Modelo Dinâmico de Equilíbrio Geral Computável para a Economia Brasileira

Vincenzo Primerano and Christiano Penna

Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, 2024, vol. 78, issue 1

Abstract: Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are a tool for simulating and analyzing the potential effects of policy implementation on the behavior of agents, the flow of income and the well-being of families. These models are fed by the data available in a Social Accounting Matrix (SCM), which is built from the Input Output Matrix (MIP). In this work, the performance of a standard dynamic EGC was tested using two MIPs as a data source: the one from NEREUS and the one from IBGE. The model's performance was evaluated based on the projected MCSs (5 years forward) after being compared to the IBGE data for that point in time. The results point to the IBGE's MIP as the most suitable for executing the model.

Date: 2024
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