Commodity prices and P-star

Edward J. Bryden and Jeffrey J. Hallman

Economic Review, 1992, vol. 28, issue Q I, 11-17

Abstract: An illustration of how the P-star indicator of future inflation can be modified to include information about the recent behavior of commodity prices. This approach yields more accurate short-run inflation forecasts while still retaining the property that, over the long run, only money matters.

Date: 1992
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