Expected income growth and the Great Recession

Eric French, Taylor Kelley and An Qi

Economic Perspectives, 2013, vol. 37, issue Q I, 14-29

Abstract: Consumers? expected income growth declined significantly during the Great Recession. It was the most severe drop ever observed in these data, and expectations have not yet fully recovered. Furthermore, this article shows that expected income growth is a strong predictor of actual future income and consumption growth.

Date: 2013
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