Economic Bulletin

2019 - 2025

From Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2023, month 12

Community Bank Funding Is Getting Costlier and Riskier pp. 4

Brendan Laliberte, W. Blake Marsh and Padma Sharma

Decline in Number of Workers with “Some College” Is Boosting Healthcare Wage Inflation pp. 4

Emily Pollard

2023, month 11

Rapid Declines in the Fed’s Overnight Reverse Repurchase (ON RRP) Facility May Start to Slow pp. 4

Stefan Jacewitz

2023, month 09

Failure of Silicon Valley Bank Reduced Local Consumer Spending but Had Limited Effect on Aggregate Spending pp. 4

Edmund Crawley, Taeyoung Doh and Minchul Shin

Post-Pandemic Labor Shortages Have Limited the Effect of Monetary Policy on the Labor Market pp. 4

Elior Cohen

Labor Constraints and Strong Demand Are Driving Robust Food Services Inflation pp. 4

Cortney Cowley and Francisco Scott

Comparing Measures of Rental Prices Can Inform Monetary Policy pp. 4

Peter McAdam

2023, month 06

To Reach the Fed’s Inflation Target, Interest Rates May Have to Remain Restrictive for Some Time pp. 4

Johannes Matschke and Sai Sattiraju

2023, month 05

Financial Stress May Do Relatively Little to Reduce Inflation pp. 4

Brent Bundick, Johannes Matschke and Andrew Smith

China's Post-COVID Recovery: Implications and Risks pp. 4

Thomas Cook and Johannes Matschke

Will High Underlying Inflation Persist? pp. 4

Amaze Lusompa and Sai Sattiraju

Corporate Profits Contributed a Lot to Inflation in 2021 but Little in 2022—A Pattern Seen in Past Economic Recoveries pp. 4

Andrew Glover, Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Jalen Nichols

2023, month 04

Tight Labor Markets Have Been a Key Contributor to High Food Inflation pp. 4

Cortney Cowley, Ty Kreitman and Francisco Scott

2023, month 03

A Tight Labor Market Could Keep Rent Inflation Elevated pp. 4

Brent Bundick and Andrew Smith

When the Music Stops: Slowing Wage Growth May Lead to More Delinquent Debt pp. 4

Jason Brown and Colton Tousey

Why Has Monetary Policy Tightening Not Cooled the Labor Market Enough to Quell Inflation? pp. 4

Karlye Dilts Stedman and Emily Pollard

2023, month 02

The KC Fed LMCI Momentum Indicator Suggests Monetary Policy Is Beginning to Weigh on Labor Markets pp. 4

Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Emily Pollard

Gasoline Prices Unlikely to Bring Down Inflation in 2023 pp. 4

Nida Cakir Melek, Francis Dillon and Andrew Smith

Home Prices Are Overvalued but Will Decline Only Gradually pp. 4

Jordan Rappaport

Pushing the Limit: Last-Minute Debt Limit Resolutions Have Increased Market Volatility and Uncertainty pp. 4

Stefan Jacewitz, W. Blake Marsh and Nicholas Sly

2022, month 12

Have Lags in Monetary Policy Transmission Shortened? pp. 3

Taeyoung Doh and Andrew Foerster

Is Bank Capital Regulation Driving Continued Use of the Overnight Reverse Repurchase (ON RRP) Facility? pp. 4

W. Blake Marsh and Rajdeep Sengupta

2022, month 11

Disruptions to Russian Energy Supply Likely to Weigh on European Output pp. 4

Thomas Cook, Amaze Lusompa and Jun Nie

Negative Sentiment toward Spending and Declining Real Incomes May Meaningfully Lower Consumption pp. 4

Nida Cakir Melek and Emily Pollard

2022, month 10

Marijuana Industry Has Boosted Economic Activity in the Tenth Federal Reserve District pp. 4

Alison Felix and Samantha dup Shampine

Labor Market May Remain Tight until Labor Demand Cools Further pp. 4

Didem Tuzemen

2022, month 09

Commodity Prices Have Limited Influence on U.S. Food Inflation pp. 4

Cortney Cowley and Francisco Scott

2022, month 08

A Slowdown in Job Vacancies Is Likely to Coincide with Higher Unemployment and Slower Wage Growth pp. 4

Huixin Bi, Chaitri Gulati and Jose Mustre-del-Rio

Recent Appreciation in the U.S. Dollar Unlikely to Have Large Effect on Domestic Inflation pp. 4

Johannes Matschke and Sai Sattiraju

Price Pressures for U.S. Exporters and a Strong Dollar Have Increased Inflation in Foreign Countries pp. 4

Johannes Matschke and Sai Sattiraju

2022, month 07

Inflation in 1972: A Cautionary Tale pp. 4

Cooper Howes

Assessing Market Conditions ahead of Quantitative Tightening pp. 4

Rajdeep Sengupta and Andrew Smith

Increased Loan Demand and Higher Interest Rates May Benefit Ag Banks pp. 4

Francisco Scott

2022, month 06

Disagreement among Households May Foreshadow a Rise in Inflation Expectations pp. 3

Andrew Glover

2022, month 05

How Many Workers Are Truly “Missing” from the Labor Force? pp. 4

Didem Tuzemen

Immigration Shortfall May Be a Headwind for Labor Supply pp. 4

Elior Cohen and Samantha dup Shampine

How Has the Current Lockdown in China Affected the Global Supply Chain? pp. 4

Jun Nie

2022, month 04

Dampened Demand for Bank Loans Reflects Supply Bottlenecks, Not a Weakness in the Recovery pp. 4

Jacob Dice and Padma Sharma

2022, month 03

Lower Labor Force Participation Rates and Slower Population Growth Pose Challenges for Employers pp. 4

Alison Felix and Samantha dup Shampine

2022, month 01

Global Supply Chain Disruptions Can Be Seen Anywhere, but Their Costs Are Not the Same Everywhere pp. 4

Nicholas Sly and Anson Soderbery

2021, month 12

Labor Markets Are Tight, but Conditions Vary across States pp. 4

Johannes Matschke and Sai Sattiraju

2021, month 11

Bank Profitability Rebounds despite Compressed Interest Margins

Adam Byrdak and Rajdeep Sengupta

2021, month 10

KC Fed LMCI Implies the Labor Market Is Closer to a Full Recovery than the Unemployment Rate Alone Suggests pp. 3

Andrew Glover, Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Emily Pollard

When Normalizing Monetary Policy, the Order of Operations Matters pp. 4

Karlye Dilts Stedman and Chaitri Gulati

KC Fed LMCI Suggests Recent Inflation Is Not Due to the Tight Labor Market pp. 4

Andrew Glover, Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Emily Pollard

2021, month 09

Federal Enhancements to Unemployment Insurance Supported Tenth District Incomes in 2020 pp. 4

John McCoy

2021, month 08

What Has Driven the Recent Increase in Retirements? pp. 4

Jun Nie and Shu-Kuei X. Yang

2021, month 06

To Improve the Accuracy of GDP Growth Forecasts, Add Financial Market Conditions pp. 5

Thomas Cook and Taeyoung Doh

2021, month 03

Cell Phone Data Suggest Persistent Differences in Work from Home by Income, Race, and Education during the Pandemic pp. 4

Nida Cakir Melek and Sungil Kim

2021, month 02

The Evolving Relationship between COVID-19 and Financial Distress pp. 3

Kartik Athreya, Jose Mustre-del-Rio, Juan Sanchez and Olivia Wilkinson

Hybrid Officing Will Shift Where People and Businesses Decide to Locate pp. 4

Jordan Rappaport

Consumer Spending Declines, Shifts in Response to the Pandemic pp. 4

Alison Felix and Samantha dup Shampine