Economic Synopses

2008 - 2024

From Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2012

Fiscal policy in the Great Recession and lessons from the past

Fernando Martin

Home equity and household income

Bryan J. Noeth and Rajdeep Sengupta

What is potential GDP and why does it matter?

William Gavin

Get by with a little help from my…other exports

Silvio Contessi and Li Li

The relationships among changes in GDP, employment, and unemployment: this time, it’s different

Constanza S. Liborio and Juan Sanchez

Foreign direct investment in the United States during the financial crisis

Silvio Contessi and Li Li

Okun’s law: a meaningful guide for monetary policy?

Mingyu Chen and Yi Wen

Firm size and employment dynamics in recessions and recoveries

Yu-Chien Kong and Juan Sanchez

Reducing the U.S. deficit by recycling capital inflows

Yi Wen

The efficacy of monetary policy: a tale from two decades

Daniel Thornton

The effects of wealth bubbles on consumption

Adrian Peralta-Alva

Employment dynamics during economic recoveries

Constanza S. Liborio and Juan Sanchez

Coming to America: covered bonds?

Brett W. Fawley and Luciana Juvenal

Commodity futures index trading and spot oil prices

William Gavin

Driving to recession and recovery

Richard Anderson

The efficacy of the FOMC’s zero interest rate policy

Daniel Thornton

Can trade links transmit a European crisis?

Jan Auerbach and Adrian Peralta-Alva

How positive are recent employment and labor market trends?

Richard Anderson

Verbal guidance and the efficacy of forward guidance

Daniel Thornton

A proposal for improving forward guidance

Leo Krippner and Daniel Thornton

Unemployment insurance fraud

David Fuller, B Ravikumar and Yuzhe Zhang

Prime and subprime hybrid mortgages

Yang Liu and Rajdeep Sengupta

Following the Fed with a news tracker

Michael McCracken

Monetary policy and the expected adjustment path of key variables

James Bullard

How can QE3 affect the housing market?

Carlos Garriga

Bouncing back from the great recession: the United States versus Europe

Thomas Cooley, B Ravikumar and Peter Rupert

Quantitative easing the Swedish way

Richard Anderson

The fiscal cliff in context

Fernando Martin

Can repatriation taxes explain the recent increase in cash holdings?

Juan Sanchez and Emircan Yurdagul

Quantitative easing and money growth: potential for higher inflation?

Daniel Thornton

Identifying structural and cyclical shocks across U.S. regions

David Andolfatto and Constanza S. Liborio

The mysterious Greek yield curve

Christopher Neely

How well do initial claims forecast employment growth over the business cycle and over time?

Kevin Kliesen and David Wheelock

Speculation in the oil market

Luciana Juvenal and Ivan Petrella

The FOMC: transparency achieved?

Richard Anderson

2011

What does the change in the FOMC's statement of objectives mean?

Daniel Thornton

Monetary policy's effects on unemployment

Yi Wen

The effects of education on health

Ruben Hernandez-Murillo and Christopher J. Martinek

Core versus headline inflation: an opportunity for greater transparency

Daniel Thornton

CPI inflation: running on motor fuel

William Gavin

Food prices and inflation in emerging markets

Brett W. Fawley and Luciana Juvenal

Income mobility

Thomas Garrett

Core versus headline inflation again

Daniel Thornton

RMB appreciation and U.S. inflation risk

Mingyu Chen and Yi Wen

Is the FOMC’s policy inflating asset prices?

Daniel Thornton

Oil price shocks and inflation risk

Mingyu Chen and Yi Wen

Monetary policy, bubbles, and goldilocks

Richard Anderson

The federal debt: too little revenue or too much spending

Kevin Kliesen and Daniel Thornton

The federal debt: what’s the source of the increase in spending?

Kevin Kliesen and Daniel Thornton

Some closure on foreclosures?

Bryan J. Noeth and Rajdeep Sengupta

The great foreign exchange intervention of 2011

Christopher Neely

Tax rates and revenue since the 1970s

Kevin Kliesen and Daniel Thornton

The gender wage gap

Natalia Kolesnikova and Yang Liu

Changes in the mortgage market since the crisis

Bryan J. Noeth and Rajdeep Sengupta

Capital controls by any other name

Brett W. Fawley and Luciana Juvenal

Should food be excluded from core CPI?

Michael McCracken

The FOMC’s interest rate policy: how long is the long run?

Daniel Thornton

Location and the return to education

Natalia Kolesnikova

Searching for the financial accelerator: how credit affects the business cycle

Adrian Peralta-Alva

Immigration at the extremes of the skill distribution

Ruben Hernandez-Murillo and Christopher J. Martinek

Households during the Great Recession: the financial accelerator in action?

Adrian Peralta-Alva

State balanced-budget and debt rules

Thomas Garrett

Liquidity crises in the small and large

Richard Anderson and Barry Jones

Construction and the Great Recession

Adrian Peralta-Alva

Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices

Kevin Kliesen and Michael Owyang

Why is employment growth so low?

Juan Sanchez and Daniel Thornton

Inflation objective and policy credibility: a potential problem for the FOMC

Daniel Thornton

Real estate bubbles and weak recoveries

Adrian Peralta-Alva

Are bank reserves and bank lending connected?

Silvio Contessi

Jobless recoveries or jobless growth?

Adrian Peralta-Alva

Initial claims and employment growth: are we at the threshold?

Kevin Kliesen, Michael McCracken and Linpeng Zheng

The difference between currency manipulation and monetary policy

Christopher Neely

Housing's role in a recovery

Michael McCracken

Monetary policy at the zero bound

Daniel Thornton

Fiscal policy and expected inflation

Christopher Neely

U.S. trade springs back

Silvio Contessi and Hoda S. El-Ghazaly