Negative swap spreads

Nina Boyarchenko, Pooja Gupta, Nick Steele and Jacqueline Yen

Economic Policy Review, 2018, issue 24-2, 14 pages

Abstract: Market participants have been surprised by the decline of U.S. interest rate swap rates relative to Treasury yields of equal maturity over the past two years, with interest rate swap spreads becoming negative for many maturities. This movement of swap spreads into negative territory has been attributed anecdotally to idiosyncratic factors such as changes in foreign reserve balances and liability duration management by corporations. However, we argue in this article that regulatory changes affected the willingness of supervised institutions to absorb shocks. In particular, we find that increases in the required leverage ratio may have changed the breakeven level of the swap spread at which market participants are willing to enter into spread trades. We present a stylized example of these economics, illustrating how a higher leverage ratio can help explain these historic movements in swap spreads.

Keywords: U.S. Treasuries; interest rate swaps; funding liquidity; post-crisis regulations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G13 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/rese ... eads_boyarchenko.pdf Full text (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fednep:00047

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Economic Policy Review from Federal Reserve Bank of New York Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Gabriella Bucciarelli ().