Forecast disagreement in the Survey of Professional Forecasters

Keith Sill ()

Business Review, 2014, issue Q2, 15-24

Abstract: To enact effective policies and spend resources efficiently, firms, policymakers, and markets need accurate economic forecasts. But even though economists generally work with similar models and data, their projections often range widely. To better understand why, Keith Sill explores what the evidence and theories say about how forecasters form their views.

Keywords: Forecasting; Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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