How Data Revisions and Uncertainty Affect Monetary Policy

Thomas Lubik and Jacob Titcomb

Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2026, vol. 26, issue 01

Abstract: Important macroeconomic data are often revised, and initial releases are subject to sometimes large measurement errors. The size of the data revisions has declined over time for most key series, but discrepancies between initial and final data for some variables are not random. This creates a problem for policymakers, since they need to make decisions in real time while not knowing the true state of the economy.

Keywords: Economic Growth; Monetary Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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