Tariff Update: Incorporating the April 9 Announcements

Marina Azzimonti, Zach Edwards, Sonya Ravindranath Waddell and Acacia Wyckoff
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Zach Edwards: https://www.richmondfed.org/region_communities/people/edwards2

Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2025, vol. 25, issue 15

Abstract: This article updates our previous analysis covering the potential effects of announced tariffs by the U.S. As the analysis is quite similar to our previous analysis, much of the text of the article is drawn from the previous article. In our April 2 article examining recent tariff announcements, we constructed a benchmark measure of the average effective tariff rate (AETR) based on detailed trade data for 2024. The analysis quantified the fiscal and trade effects of newly proposed tariffs through a series of counterfactual scenarios. These included tariffs on aluminum and steel, renewed duties on Chinese imports, and new levies on products from Canada, Mexico and the European Union (EU). The study showed that the AETR could rise significantly, moving up from a benchmark of 2.3 percent to as high as 15.0 percent under proposed policies.

Keywords: tariffs; Average Effective Tariff Rate; international trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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