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Model for the Dynamic Evaluation of the Grey Imports Volume and Structure

Evgeny G. Anisimov (), Vladimir G. Anisimov () and Sergey V. Shkodinsky ()
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Evgeny G. Anisimov: Research Institute of the General Staff Military Academy of the Russian Federation ?s Armed Forces
Vladimir G. Anisimov: Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic Universit, Russia
Sergey V. Shkodinsky: State Research Institute for System Analysis of the Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation

Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, 2016, issue 1, 110-116

Abstract: The article describes the stochastic model for the dynamic evaluation of the grey imports volume and structure, which imitates the processes of its formation. This simulation allows to take into account available information about the grey imports and thereby improves the accuracy of its volume and structure estimation in more objective way than the common regression and expert models do.

Keywords: customs duties; grey imports; volume; structure; model; dynamic evaluation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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