Monetary Policy and Inflation Rate: The Outcome of 2020

Денежно-кредитная политика и инфляция: итоги 2020 г

Alexandra Bozhechkova and Pavel Trunin

Russian Economic Development, 2021, issue 1, 4-6

Abstract: Based on the results of 2020, amid crisis conditions the inflation rate sped up to 4.9%, an increase of 0.9 p.p. over the Russian Central Bank’s inflation target. In H1 2020, on the back of a large-scale reduction in consumer demand the inflation rate was below the target. In H2, proinflationary factors picked up. After gradual reduction in the key interest rate from 6.25% in January 2020 to 4.25% per annum in July 2020, the Central Bank of Russia suspended the easing of the monetary policy. In H1 2021, the inflation rate will keep speeding up, however, by our estimates, it will be close to the Bank of Russia inflation target by the year-end.

Keywords: inflation; monetary policy; key rate; capital outflow; Bank of Russia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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