Simulated Spatial Model of Russian Urban Development

Имитационная пространственная модель развития российских городов

Kirill Rostislav, Yuriy Ponomarev and Darya M. Radchenko
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Darya M. Radchenko: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Russian Economic Development, 2022, issue 5, 20-33

Abstract: The paper presents a spatial simulation model covering 237 cities and towns in 76 subjects of the Russian Federation. The model describes the dynamics of the population and the number of enterprises in the cities, and also makes it possible to make medium-term forecasts with a high degree of accuracy. The work tested hypotheses about the impact on intercity migration and other socio-economic processes that determine the differences between the cities in average wages, the quality of urban environment and other factors, and also considered examples of the application of the model to assess the socio-economic effects of high-speed roads construction (on the example of the Sochi – Tuapse road) and the effects of the closure of city-forming enterprises in several single-industry towns. The article was prepared in the framework of execution of state order by RANEPA.

Keywords: simulation model; migration; cities; single-industry towns; infrastructure projects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C63 R12 R23 R32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gai:recdev:r2242

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