Global Economic Development: Worsening Forecasts

Развитие мировой экономики: ухудшение прогнозов

Urmat K. Dzhunkeev, Yury N. Perevyshin, Pavel Trunin and Maria I. Chembulatova
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Urmat K. Dzhunkeev: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Yury N. Perevyshin: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Maria I. Chembulatova: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Russian Economic Development, 2022, issue 9, 4-14

Abstract: In July, the IMF, the European Commission, and the Asian Development Bank updated their previous world economic development forecasts. In the updated IMF forecast, the global GDP growth rate for 2022 is reduced to 3.2% because of a slowdown in the movement of that indicator in the largest G20 economies. At the same time, for a number of G20 countries (Brazil, Indonesia, South Africa, and Russia) the projections for 2022 have been improved due to rising prices for energy and some metals; and in the case of Russia, also due to the effective measures designed to stabilize its financial sector. The forecasts are also deteriorating in view of the monetary policy tightening by the monetary authorities across a considerable majority of G20 countries in response to the acceleration of inflation.

Keywords: world economy; growth rates; forecast; monetary policy; IMF; European Commission; Asian Development Bank (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 C54 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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