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Russia's Financial Markets Development Forecast till 2020

Alexey Vedev and Yuri Danilov

Research Paper Series, 2012, issue 160P

Abstract: Issue is devoted to an actual problem to which is still given not enough attention – a problem of long-term forecasting of national financial sector as a component of an economic complex. Problems of a forecast of development of the financial markets coordination with economic development of the country, on the one hand, and with a forecast of development of the global financial market, on the other hand are considered. Balances of the major financial instruments and institutional balances of the main sectors the economy in aggregate forming complex financial balance of the country are constructed in paper. On this basis the forecast of development of the financial markets for the period till 2020, based on assumptions of the balanced scenario is created. Besides, possibilities and transition conditions to higher growth rates of the financial market under assumption of stability are defined.

Keywords: long-term forecasting; national financial sector; financial markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 E01 E02 E50 E61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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http://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/rpaper/66Vedev.pdf Revised version, 2012 (application/pdf)

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