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Flexible Use of the Large-Scale Short-Time Work Scheme in Germany during the Pandemic: Dynamic Labour Demand Models Estimation with High-Frequency Establishment Data

Lisa Bellmann (), Lutz Bellmann () and Arnd Kölling
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Lisa Bellmann: Institute for Employment Research (IAB), 90478 Nuremberg, Germany
Lutz Bellmann: Institute for Employment Research (IAB), 90478 Nuremberg, Germany
Arnd Kölling: HWR Berlin School of Economics and Law, Alt Friedrichsfelde 60, D-10315 Berlin, Germany

Economies, 2023, vol. 11, issue 7, 1-17

Abstract: Our study uses 24 waves of the survey Establishments in the COVID-19 crisis (BeCOVID), a high-frequency dataset collected at monthly intervals by the Institute for Employment Research during the COVID-19 pandemic, to investigate the behaviour of establishments with respect to the dynamics of their employment, in particular their use of short-time work. Due to the high-frequency intervals, the present data are considerably better suited than annual panel surveys to investigate adjustment processes. This is especially true for the role of short-time work, which is seen as a particularly fast adjustment option and thus reduces adjustment costs rapidly. Our estimations reveal a much faster overall workforce adjustment process compared with previous studies, which rely on annual panel surveys. In addition, our empirical results show that the employment adjustment in establishments using short-time work during the COVID-19 crisis occurred almost immediately within one month.

Keywords: short-time work; COVID-19; dynamic labour demand; panel analysis; high-frequency establishment data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E F I J O Q (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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