Specific Effect of Innovation Factors on Socioeconomic Development of Countries in View of the Global Crisis

Sergey Mikhailovich Vasin () and Daria Mikhailovna Timokhina
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Sergey Mikhailovich Vasin: Department “Sociology, Economic Theory and International Processes”, Penza State University, 440026 Penza, Russia
Daria Mikhailovna Timokhina: Laboratory for the Study of Balanced Spatial Development of Regions, Penza State University, 440026 Penza, Russia

Economies, 2024, vol. 12, issue 8, 1-38

Abstract: Although the coronavirus pandemic has now faded into the background, the global crisis caused by COVID-19 has had the most devastating impacts worldwide. Given the potential relapse of such unexpected and uncertain events, it is vital to specify the patterns thereof and develop proactive measures for the countries to acquire an advanced readiness to deal with the related incidents. The most infected countries faced an increase in business bankruptcies, unemployment and inflation rates, low production volumes, and a decline in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). To withstand such socioeconomic consequences, the countries had to employ a number of measures, with innovation development acceleration being one. This paper aims to assess the dependency of an increase in GDP and a decrease in inflation and unemployment rates on the country-level growth of innovation development according to such Global Innovation Index (GII) pillars as institutions, human capital and research, infrastructure, market sophistication, business sophistication, knowledge and technology outputs, and creative outputs. The conducted research analysis covered the period from 2019 to 2022 based on the data for the GII pillar development level and economic performance indicators for 20 countries from five socioeconomic models. Descriptive and comparative statistics as well as correlation and regression analysis were used to prove the innovation development to be a key driver in increasing GDP and reducing inflation. To increase the GDP value, special attention should be paid to such GII pillars as institutions and human capital and research, while infrastructure and human capital and research are the pillars to reduce the inflation rates.

Keywords: innovation development; Global Innovation Index (GII); Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita; inflation rate; unemployment rate; socioeconomic model; socioeconomic development; crisis; pandemic; COVID-19; correlation and regression analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E F I J O Q (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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