Performance Expectations of Professional Sport Teams and In-Season Head Coach Dismissals—Evidence from the English and French Men’s Football First Divisions

Yvon Rocaboy and Marek Pavlik
Additional contact information
Marek Pavlik: Faculty of Economics and Administration, Masaryk University, 60177 Brno, Czech Republic

Economies, 2020, vol. 8, issue 4, 1-20

Abstract: The goals of this paper are first to identify why professional football clubs replace their head coach and, second, to investigate the effect of coach dismissal on team performance. To do that, we propose a new method for assessing the performance expectations of professional sport teams using Monte Carlo simulation. We apply our method to the English Premier league and the French Ligue 1 football teams over the 2015–2016 and 2016–2017 seasons. We find that coach dismissal is the result of a drop in the average expected performance compared with the performance expectations at the beginning of the season. We also show that dismissing a coach may enhance performance only if the team under-performed before the dismissal. There is no obstacle to using the same method for professional teams in other sports. The method is easily reproducible and does not require much information in order to be applied.

Keywords: coach dismissal; Monte Carlo simulation; team performance; payrolls; expectations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E F I J O Q (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/4/82/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/4/82/ (text/html)

Related works:
Working Paper: Performance Expectations of Professional Sport Teams and In-Season Head Coach Dismissals-Evidence from the English and French Men's Football First Divisions (2020)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:8:y:2020:i:4:p:82-:d:425325

Access Statistics for this article

Economies is currently edited by Ms. Adore Zhou

More articles in Economies from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().