Detailed Modelling of the Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios with Demand Response Technologies in the Heating and Cooling Sector: A Case Study for Italy

Francesco Calise, Massimo Dentice D’Accadia, Carlo Barletta, Vittoria Battaglia, Antun Pfeifer and Neven Duic
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Francesco Calise: Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, 80040 Naples, Italy
Massimo Dentice D’Accadia: Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, 80040 Naples, Italy
Carlo Barletta: Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, 80040 Naples, Italy
Vittoria Battaglia: Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, 80040 Naples, Italy
Antun Pfeifer: Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, University of Zagreb,10000 Zagreb, Croatia
Neven Duic: Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, University of Zagreb,10000 Zagreb, Croatia

Energies, 2017, vol. 10, issue 10, 1-33

Abstract: Energy policies accompanying the transition towards a sustainable development process must be supported by technical analyses in which future energy scenarios are modeled and evaluated. This paper analyzes possible decarbonization scenarios in Italy for the year 2050. They envisage high electrification of transports and residential buildings, high use of renewable energies, and a modal shift towards public transport. The energy scenarios are evaluated using a software program, EnergyPLAN, starting from a reference model developed for the year 2014. Special attention has been given to the modeling of data that are unavailable in the literature, such as the time profile of heating and cooling demands, obtained with the degree-days method and validated by elaborating the results of the modeling of the residential building stock, this latter was dynamically simulated in TRNSYS. The results show that to obtain a significant decrease of greenhouse gas emissions and fossil fuel consumption, it is necessary not only to promote a deeper penetration of renewable sources, but also their integration with other technologies (cogeneration, trigeneration, power-to-heat systems, thermal storage, vehicle-to-grid operations). In fact, renewables technologies alone can raise some critical issues, such as excess and/or shortage of electricity production and non-sustainable exploitation of biomass.

Keywords: energy planning; energy efficiency; renewables (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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