How Can China Achieve Its Nationally Determined Contribution Targets Combining Emissions Trading Scheme and Renewable Energy Policies?

Jie Wu, Ying Fan and Yan Xia
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Jie Wu: School of Statistics and Management, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China
Ying Fan: School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
Yan Xia: Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China

Energies, 2017, vol. 10, issue 8, 1-20

Abstract: The adoption of emissions trading scheme (ETS) and renewable energy sources (RES) policies have been essential to achieving China’s national targets for reducing CO 2 emissions and developing non-fossil energy sources. The combination of ETS and RES policies raises an important issue: What is the effect of combining ETS and RES policies on the existing carbon market and economy? Focusing on the design of the nationwide carbon market, this paper uses a multi-regional computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the economic impacts of ETS policy when combined with RES policies in China. The results show that China’s annual ETS emissions cap should decrease by 0.3% to maintain stable CO 2 prices and achieve the targets in China’s intended nationally determined contribution (INDC). It is estimated that the CO 2 price on the nationwide carbon market would decrease by 11–64% when the renewable energy subsidy rate increases from 20 to 100%, and the total trading volume would decrease by 3–25%. The results also show that the combination of an ETS and a feed-in tariff (FIT) results in greater GDP cost and welfare loss in all Chinese regions, increasing the total social cost by 0.01–0.06%.

Keywords: emissions trading scheme; renewable energy sources; multi-regional CGE model; CO 2 price (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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